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Research papers

Stated preference microsimulation models from qualitative inputs to estimate market shares in intercity travel

This paper describes a recently developed method for predicting market shares of products in a competitive market from qualitative judgements of a small sample of respondents. This "conjoint choice approach" is an extension of traditional conjoint...

Catalogue: ESOMAR Congress 1986: Anticipation And Decision Making
Authors: Michael Beswick, Robert J. Sheldon, Eric P. Kroes
June 15, 1986

Research papers

Qualitative techniques to identify and evaluate key market development factors

Over the past ten to fifteen years, decision-makers have gradually turned to scenario-based approaches. In these, rather than try to foretell the future as an extension of the present, they seek more realistically to envisage possible states of the...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Problem Solving In Industrial Marketing
Author: Daniel Debomy
June 15, 1986

Research papers

The business monitor

In order to keep up with the growing demand for specialised services and to be able to better follow and predict the developments in the marketplace of business-establishments, a group of some leading Dutch banking- and insurance companies in close...

Catalogue: Seminar 1986: Problem Solving In Industrial Marketing
Authors: Willem F. H. van der Meer, Robbert D. W. Baden
Company: NIPO
June 15, 1986

Research papers

Simulated test markets

This paper starts from the premise that the Simulated Test Markets (STMs) now being used in Europe have an impressive track record in terms of the validity of the predictions they make regarding the future success of new products. The techniques that...

Catalogue: Seminar 1983: New Product Development
Authors: Stafford Crossman, Peter J. Hayes
November 2, 1983

Research papers

Prediction in the labour market

The Austrian Labour Market Administration (which is part of the Ministry for Social Affairs) is legally obliged to procure an annual prediction of the manpower demand and supply for the following year. This Labour Market Forecast is dis- cussed in...

Catalogue: Papers 1982: Social Research And Prediction
Author: Ernst Gehmacher
June 15, 1982

Research papers

Tymcon service 1

Marketing people need a flexible computerized tool to analyze, plan, model and forecast changing marketing situations. They need to constantly ask those countless, hypothetical "what-if" questions across many variables. But they also need an...

Catalogue: Seminar 1980: Information Systems In Action
Author: Werner Retzlaff
June 15, 1980

Research papers

Estimating the market share, readers profile and important attributes of a newspaper

This paper tries to demonstrate how a marketing research project aids decision makers to improve the validity and reliability of their decisions. A survey was undertaken to find out the present and future levels of market share, the appropriate ratio...

Catalogue: Seminar 1979: Publishing And The Communications Industry
Author: Kemal Kurtulu
November 1, 1979

Research papers

Multivariate perspectives

This paper is concerned with perspectives on the use of multivariate techniques in marketing. The marketing concept has taught us to define markets and products in terms of human needs. This has fostered two fundamental segmentation stratagems:...

Catalogue: AMA/ESOMAR Conference 1979: It Won't Work Here
Author: Joseph R. Murphy
March 1, 1979

Research papers

Concluding remarks

Since this was the first ESOMAR seminar on Fashion Research, there was no precedent to provide any guidelines. At the first programme committee meeting, we again tackled this problem. We didn't manage to come to any conclusions about what we really...

Catalogue: Seminar 1974: Fashion, Research And Marketing
Author: Susan P. Douglas
December 4, 1974